WORLD CUP
’26
A statistical prediction album for the 2026 FIFA World Cup — a model backtested on 49,378 internationals calls every match, the title odds and the full wallchart.
Who Lifts It?
Champion probability — 50,000 Monte-Carlo tournaments over the official bracket.
Bars show title odds; the small pips are the road to the final — QF · SF · F · 🏆.
Match Centre
Every World Cup fixture, called by the model — win/draw/win, expected goals and the likeliest score. Results show whether the model called it.
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The Wallchart
Official FIFA Round-of-32 seeding. The gold path is the model's chalk run — the higher win-probability side advances every tie. It's one bracket, so the title favourite needn't win it; the Odds page averages 50,000 of these.
Group Pages
All twelve groups. Adv% = chance of reaching the knockouts (top-2 or one of the 8 best 3rd-placed).
Power Rankings
Live international Elo (active sides). Tap a sticker to unfurl its rating trajectory.
Match Lab
Pick any two of the 48. The ensemble returns win/draw/win, expected goals and the most-likely scoreline — a neutral-venue tale of the tape.
Team Intel
Live RSS clippings auto-tagged by nation and flagged: injury · suspension · lineup · form · transfer · manager.
The Method
Not just plausible — measured. Leakage-free walk-forward over ~8,000 held-out internationals.
The Club Shop
Kit out like it's 1990 — a few things from the blokecore / retro-football world. #Ad · affiliate links
WCPA is free and deliberately ad-light. If it earned a place on your wall, drop a coin in the tin — it keeps the servers (and the stickers) printing.